Medical staff in protective gear tend to patients in Wuhan, China.

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NCSS: People, Places, and Environments • Science, Technology, and Society • Global Connections

SPOTLIGHT

Are We Ready for the Next Pandemic?

A virus infecting many thousands in China raises big questions about the world’s readiness for a major disease outbreak.

As You Read, Think About: How do illnesses spread around the globe?

Jim McMahon/Mapman®

The world is facing a new health crisis: a virus that—as of mid-March—has infected more than 124,000 people, mainly in China. A type of coronavirus, it has spread to at least 108 countries and killed more than 4,500 people worldwide. 

On March 11, the World Health Organization declared the virus a pandemic. A pandemic is an outbreak that spreads quickly and affects many people in different areas around the globe. More than 1,000 cases of the virus have now been reported in the United States, and officials say there will likely be more.

U.S. health experts say states, communities, and hospitals should be prepared to contain and treat the coronavirus. They are encouraging people to stock up on food, medicine, and other common household supplies to avoid having to go out for them in case a local outbreak occurs.

Health officials stress that Americans shouldn’t panic, because the chance of contracting the virus in the U.S. is believed to be low. Also, experts say the vast majority of cases are mild. They say Americans should take common, everyday precautions for preventing illnesses, such as frequent handwashing (see our tips below), as they go about their daily lives. Still, experts warn, this outbreak demonstrates just how fast and far viruses can spread. They say a virus more dangerous than this coronavirus could one day cause a hugely destructive pandemic. 

The risk of a devastating pandemic has grown as the world has become increasingly connected by travel. Just months before the coronavirus outbreak in China, a group of global health experts issued a warning that the emergence of a highly contagious disease could kill 50 million to 80 million people worldwide. 

“We live in a global society where an illness that’s in one place today can be everywhere tomorrow,” says Michael Osterholm, a public health security expert.

Crisis in China

Authorities believe the coronavirus outbreak originated in the Chinese city of Wuhan. While most people in China who have been infected have recovered, the virus’s effects on the nation have been devastating. 

Many Chinese citizens have voiced anger over how their leaders have handled the outbreak. When residents of Wuhan began getting sick, Chinese officials kept information about it from the public. That prevented people from taking precautions to avoid germs, such as skipping large public events.  

As the virus spread, China took the extreme action of shutting down Wuhan—home to 11 million people—and big cities nearby to prevent more people from getting sick. Schools and businesses were closed. Hospitals became overwhelmed with patients.

Getty Images 

People wear masks at a train station in Wuhan, China, to help avoid germs.

A Connected World

Experts say the outbreak shows how quickly diseases can circle the globe. The virus began spreading to other nations after infected people traveled from Wuhan.

Indeed, humans—and viruses—are now traveling faster than ever thanks to airplanes. Today, “you can be anywhere in the world in 36 hours,” says Jennifer Nuzzo, a public health security expert. Infected people can travel from one country to another before they even realize they’re sick.

And people are flying more than ever. The primary reason is tourism. The globalization of major industries is also a key factor. China, for instance, produces goods sold around the world, from toys to computers. As its economy has boomed, people have begun traveling to and from China more often for business and leisure. 

Containing a Virus

In our connected world, it’s critical to quickly respond to disease outbreaks. Typically, public health experts try to contain serious illnesses by isolating sick people at home or in a hospital. Anyone who has had contact with contagious people may be quarantined. 

Meanwhile, experts work to develop treatments as well as vaccines to prevent people from contracting such diseases in the first place. Public health agencies, such as the World Health Organization, help coordinate government responses worldwide and keep the public informed. 

But health experts say much more needs to be done to prevent a massive pandemic in the near future. 

A Looming Threat

To help people grasp how destructive a pandemic can be, some experts point to the Spanish flu of 1918. The illness could kill within hours. More than 50 million people died from it globally—and that was before air travel was common. A dangerous virus could spread much faster today.

To be ready for such an outbreak, experts say, countries worldwide must better fund and equip their public health systems. Developing new vaccines should be a top priority. More medical staff need to be trained. And more supplies need to be stockpiled so they don’t run out in a crisis. Meanwhile, wealthy nations such as the U.S. must better support health systems in countries with fewer resources—so diseases there can be more rapidly detected and contained. In addition, governments must address the causes of past outbreaks, such as unsafe food sources. 

As health officials work to contain and treat the new coronavirus, they say it should be a wake-up call for an even more dangerous threat in the future. There is little doubt among experts that one is coming. According to Dr. Howard Markel, an expert on pandemics, “It’s not a matter of if, it’s when.” 

Write About It! What do experts say needs to be done to prepare for a pandemic? Explain using details from the article. 

Avoid Getting Sick!

Public health experts say the best way to protect yourself from the new type of coronavirus—and help keep it from spreading—is to follow the same simple advice people take to avoid colds and other common illnesses. These tips can help stop many viruses in their tracks.

  • Wash your hands frequently with soap and water, for at least 20 seconds each time. 
  • You can use hand sanitizer. Just check the label to make sure it contains at least 60 percent alcohol. Apply a generous amount and then rub it on your hands and fingers for about 20 seconds. 
  • Avoid touching your eyes, nose, and mouth.
  • If someone else is obviously sick, keep your distance if you can—even just a few feet. 
  • Cough and sneeze into a tissue—then toss the tissue in the trash. No tissue? Cough and sneeze into your elbow—and then wash your hands!
  • Stay home when you are sick.

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