Wildfire

Most wildfires in the United States are in the West.

ingo H.W. Chiu/AP Images

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Common Core: RH.6-8.1, RH.6-8.2, RH.6-8.4, RH.6-8.7, WHST.6-8.4, RI.6-8.1, RI.6-8.2, RI.6-8.4, RI.6-8.7, W.6-8.4, SL.6-8.1

NCSS: Time, Continuity, and Change • People, Places, and Environments • Science, Technology, and Society

U.S. NEWS

Fighting Fires With Technology

Prisha Shroff, 15, has come up with a new way to stop wildfires before they start.

As You Read, Think About: Why is it helpful to know which areas are at risk for wildfires?

Society for Science/Prisha Shroff (Courtesy of Prisha Shroff)

Prisha Shroff

Prisha Shroff could hardly believe what she was seeing from the back seat of her family’s car. A haze of smoke filled the air. Police blocked the road ahead. A huge wildfire was raging nearby. 

“It was burning everything in its path,” recalls Prisha, now 15. “We were forced to turn back.” 

It was 2020, and Prisha was visiting California. She returned home to Chandler, Arizona, a few days later. But Prisha kept thinking about the fire, which took months to fully contain. 

The blaze consumed more than 1 million acres and destroyed hundreds of homes. For weeks after it began that August, people all over the state were told to stay inside to avoid inhaling dangerous smoke. 

“After seeing the devastating impact that the wildfire was having, it really showed me that there’s a need for some solution,” says Prisha.

Prisha Shroff was sitting in the back seat of her family’s car. She could hardly believe what she was seeing. A haze of smoke filled the air. Police blocked the road ahead. A huge wildfire was raging nearby.

“It was burning everything in its path,” recalls Prisha, now 15. “We were forced to turn back.”

It was 2020. Prisha was visiting California. A few days later, she returned home to Chandler, Arizona. But Prisha kept thinking about the fire. It took months to fully contain it.

The blaze consumed more than 1 million acres. It destroyed hundreds of homes. For weeks after it began that August, people all over the state were told to stay inside to avoid breathing in dangerous smoke.

“After seeing the devastating impact that the wildfire was having, it really showed me that there’s a need for some solution,” says Prisha.

Predicting Blazes

Prisha, who loves science and coding, was determined to tackle the problem herself. Over several months, she developed a computer program that uses artificial intelligence. 

The program collects and analyzes satellite data—including temperature, soil moisture, and wind—to predict wildfires before they start. If a place is at high risk, the program can alert authorities. It can potentially even send drones to spray a substance that can slow the spread of fire.

Systems like Prisha’s—which is still in the works—may be increasingly needed, especially in the United States. New data show that wildfires threaten more of the country than people might realize and that the risk is expected to grow.

Prisha was determined to tackle the problem herself. She loves science and coding. So over several months, she developed a computer program that uses artificial intelligence.

The program collects and analyzes satellite data. The data includes temperature, soil moisture, and wind. The program helps predict wildfires before they start. It also can alert authorities if a place is at high risk. It may even be able to send drones to spray a substance that can slow the spread of fire.

Prisha’s system is still in the works. Hers and others like it may be increasingly needed. That is especially true in the United States. New data shows that wildfires threaten more of the country than people might realize. This risk is expected to grow.

Feeling the Heat

Most of the nation’s wildfires are in the West. But nearly half of all properties in the continental U.S. face some risk (see map, below). The good news is that the danger is still relatively low for many of them.

Most of the nation’s wildfires are in the West. But nearly half of all properties in the continental U.S. face some risk (see map, below). The good news is that the danger is still quite low for many of them.

National Wildfire Risk in 2022

This map uses color-coding to show the likelihood of wildfires across the continental U.S. this year.

Jim McMahon/Mapman®

SOURCE: First Street Foundation

SKILL SPOTLIGHT: Using Text Features

How does this map support the article? What new details does it offer? What conclusions can you draw about where you live?

How does this map support the article? What new details does it offer? What conclusions can you draw about where you live?

A research group called the First Street Foundation used weather information, fire reports, and distance to flammable material (such as trees) to make the predictions. The group estimates that the share of U.S. properties at risk of wildfire damage will reach 56 percent in the next 30 years.

That is partly because climate change has resulted in hotter, drier weather that contributes to wildfires. For example, record-breaking heat has led to historic droughts in the West over the past two years. Drought makes vegetation more flammable. 

“Climate change is leading to conditions on the ground we have never encountered,” explains Randy Moore, the U.S. Forest Service chief. “We know these conditions are leading to more frequent and intense wildfires.”

A research group called the First Street Foundation used weather information, fire reports, and distance from material that can burn (such as trees) to make the predictions. The group estimates that the share of U.S. properties at risk of wildfire damage will reach 56 percent in the next 30 years.

That is partly because climate change has resulted in hotter, drier weather. This contributes to wildfires. For example, record-breaking heat has led to historic droughts in the West over the past two years. Drought makes trees and plants easier to burn.

“Climate change is leading to conditions on the ground we have never encountered,” explains Randy Moore. He is the U.S. Forest Service chief. “We know these conditions are leading to more frequent and intense wildfires.”

58,733

Number of wildfires in the U.S. in 2021

SOURCE: National Centers for Environmental Information

A National Effort

What can be done? The U.S. government has set aside $234 million to fund wildfire prevention and recovery efforts. President Joe Biden has created a commission to study how best to prevent and manage wildfires. Meanwhile, people can take steps to help protect their homes, such as cutting back overhanging trees.

As for Prisha, she continues to perfect her system. In 2021, she won a $10,000 Lemelson Award for Invention. The annual prize is given to a young inventor with a promising solution to a serious problem.

Prisha hopes her program will become something that officials can use to help prevent wildfires in the future. “I really want to save people’s lives and also protect the environment,” she says. “That’s what keeps me going.” 

What can be done? The U.S. government has set aside $234 million to pay for wildfire prevention and recovery efforts. President Joe Biden has created a commission to study how best to prevent and manage wildfires. Meanwhile, people can take steps to help protect their homes. For example, they can try cutting back overhanging trees.

Prisha continues to perfect her system. In 2021, she won a $10,000 Lemelson Award for Invention. That annual prize is given to a young inventor with a promising solution to a serious problem.

Prisha hopes her program will become something that officials can use to help prevent wildfires in the future. “I really want to save people’s lives and also protect the environment,” she says. “That’s what keeps me going.”

Words to Know

artificial intelligence: the ability of a machine to think, learn, and act like a human

climate change: a long-term change in Earth’s typical weather conditions

artificial intelligence: the ability of a machine to think, learn, and act like a human

climate change: a long-term change in Earth’s typical weather conditions

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